Artificial Canaries: Early Warning Signs for Anticipatory and Democratic Governance of AI

Schizophrenia: early warning signs

Max Birchwood is Director of the Early Intervention Service (Harry Watton House, 97 Church Lane, Aston, Birmingham B6 5UG) and Director of Research and Development of Northern Birmingham Mental Health NHS Trust. He is also a Research Professor at the School of Psychology, University of Birmingham. Elizabeth Spencer is a senior clinical medical officer working in Northern Birmingham Mental Healt...

Early Warning Signs in Social-Ecological Networks

A number of social-ecological systems exhibit complex behaviour associated with nonlinearities, bifurcations, and interaction with stochastic drivers. These systems are often prone to abrupt and unexpected instabilities and state shifts that emerge as a discontinuous response to gradual changes in environmental drivers. Predicting such behaviours is crucial to the prevention of or preparation f...

Early warning signs for saddle-escape transitions in complex networks

Many real world systems are at risk of undergoing critical transitions, leading to sudden qualitative and sometimes irreversible regime shifts. The development of early warning signals is recognized as a major challenge. Recent progress builds on a mathematical framework in which a real-world system is described by a low-dimensional equation system with a small number of key variables, where th...

Early Warning and Intrusion Detection based on Combined AI Methods

In this paper we survey the architecture and AI aspects in our project on early warningand intrusion detection based on combined AI methods. We address the problem of alarm assessment in intrusion detection and use plan reconstruction based on hierarchically organised procedural knowledge that contains descriptions of adversary actions. Reconstructed plans are supposed to correlate events and a...

Democratic governance and evaluation